Uni. Catolica 6-2 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.57/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.14
+22% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.8 Crosses 16.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aucas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 232
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.04.2025 Aucas Aucas 2-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
07.03.2025 Uni. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas CSA
09.11.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 2-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
19.05.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
18.08.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
19.03.2023 Aucas Aucas 4-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
6-2
AWAY Aucas
2.11 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
340 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica ran out comfortable winners over Aucas 6-2. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 52% of the ball to Aucas's 48%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.11 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uni. Catolica and 2.00 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Aucas?

Uni. Catolica 6-2 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 45%, draw 23%, Aucas 32%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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