LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
2-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-2
HT 1-1
LDU Quito
EKV1
LDU Quito 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito edged past Mushuc Runa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, LDU Quito had 67% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 33%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 2.86 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold LDU Quito's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 1.00 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa?
LDU Quito 2-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 68%, draw 19%, Mushuc Runa 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.