LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
LDU Quito v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
LDU Quito 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito found just enough to beat Mushuc Runa 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, LDU Quito had 67% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 33%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 2.86 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold LDU Quito's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 1.00 for Mushuc Runa.
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa Result & Final Score
LDU Quito 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 71%, draw 19%, Mushuc Runa 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.