El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
3-4
HT 1-2
El Nacional
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-2
Independiente Del Valle
EKVK
El Nacional 1-3 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle got the better of El Nacional 3-1 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Nacional had 55% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.22 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Nacional and 1.67 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle?
El Nacional 1-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 29%, draw 25%, Independiente Del Valle 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.