FAS 1-0 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 3 Aug 2025

FAS
1-0 HT 0-0
Aguila
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.15/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.96
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguila
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12.05.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
08.05.2025 FAS FAS 1-2 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
31.03.2025 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
09.12.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
05.12.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS nicked a narrow win over Aguila 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day FAS made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FAS and 1.17 for Aguila.

What was the final score of FAS vs Aguila?

FAS 1-0 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FAS 37%, draw 26%, Aguila 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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