Aguila 0-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 May 2025

Aguila
0-1 HT 0-0
FAS
📅12/05/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.56
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FAS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
08.05.2025 FAS FAS 1-2 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
31.03.2025 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
09.12.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
05.12.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.10.2024 FAS FAS 3-4 HT 2-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS nicked a narrow win over Aguila 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aguila and 1.33 for FAS.

What was the final score of Aguila vs FAS?

Aguila 0-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aguila 53%, draw 24%, FAS 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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