Lecce 1-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2025

Lecce
1-0 HT 1-0
Carrarese
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Lecce vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.15
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.5
X/1
19%
3.71
X/2
6%
10.0
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
7%
9.31
2/X
8%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 21%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Lecce 1-0 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
1-0
AWAY Carrarese
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce squeezed past Carrarese 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lecce as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lecce had 47% of the ball to Carrarese's 53%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Carrarese?

Lecce 1-0 Carrarese in the Friendlies on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lecce 58%, draw 26%, Carrarese 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lecce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
3 Aug 2025
00:00 Nashville SC vs Aston Villa Analysis →
00:00 VVV-Venlo vs OH Leuven II Analysis →
00:00 Tottenham vs Newcastle United Analysis →
00:00 Lumezzane vs Palazzolo 1913 Analysis →
00:00 Avellino vs Picerno Analysis →
00:00 Maritimo vs Nacional Analysis →