Avellino 3-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Picerno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
25.08.2024 Picerno Picerno 4-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
30.03.2024 Avellino Avellino 6-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
26.11.2023 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
19.03.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-2 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
20.11.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
3-1
AWAY Picerno
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino beat Picerno 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Avellino had 46% of the ball to Picerno's 54%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avellino and 1.83 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Picerno?

Avellino 3-1 Picerno in the Friendlies on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Avellino 51%, draw 27%, Picerno 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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