Avellino 1-0 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
2.03/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.44
+28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Picerno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Picerno Picerno 4-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
30.03.2024 Avellino Avellino 6-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
26.11.2023 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
19.03.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-2 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
20.11.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
27.03.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1-0
AWAY Picerno
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino squeezed past Picerno 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Avellino had 43% of the ball to Picerno's 57%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avellino and 1.83 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Picerno?

Avellino 1-0 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Avellino 54%, draw 24%, Picerno 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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