Picerno 4-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.18
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-8.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.38/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.79
+31% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avellino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Avellino Avellino 6-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
26.11.2023 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
19.03.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-2 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
20.11.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
27.03.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
20.11.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
4-1
AWAY Avellino
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno swept aside Avellino 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Picerno made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Picerno had 50% of the ball to Avellino's 50%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Picerno and 1.50 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Avellino?

Picerno 4-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Picerno 33%, draw 32%, Avellino 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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