Virtus Verona 0-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.38
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.02
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lumezzane
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 3-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
18.11.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
0-1
AWAY Lumezzane
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 14
12 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane nicked a narrow win over Virtus Verona 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lumezzane found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 49% of the ball to Lumezzane's 51%, shots finished 20-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lumezzane led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Virtus Verona and 2.50 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Lumezzane?

Virtus Verona 0-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 35%, draw 28%, Lumezzane 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lumezzane), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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