ACR Messina 2-2 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.07/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.80
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
19.03.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-1 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
20.11.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
19.02.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 2-0 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
17.10.2021 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-3 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
2-2
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina and Rossoblu Potenza shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACR Messina had 49% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 51%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ACR Messina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for ACR Messina and 0.60 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Rossoblu Potenza?

ACR Messina 2-2 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rossoblu Potenza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 32%, draw 27%, Rossoblu Potenza 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rossoblu Potenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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