Pro Patria 0-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.85
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.12/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.08
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
21.10.2023 Renate Renate 1-2 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
29.01.2023 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.09.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
20.03.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
14.11.2021 Renate Renate 4-1 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
0-1
AWAY Renate
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate nicked a narrow win over Pro Patria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Renate made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Pro Patria had 63% of the ball to Renate's 37%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pro Patria and 1.50 for Renate.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Renate?

Pro Patria 0-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 36%, draw 27%, Renate 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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