Avellino 6-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.69/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.23
+16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Picerno
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
19.03.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-2 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
20.11.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
27.03.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
20.11.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
26.01.2020 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
6-1
AWAY Picerno
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino swept aside Picerno 6-1. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Avellino had 58% of the ball to Picerno's 42%, shots finished 12-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Avellino and 1.33 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Picerno?

Avellino 6-1 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Avellino 43%, draw 30%, Picerno 27%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5
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