Tottenham 1-1 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
10%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.54
1/2
6%
22.6
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
15%
6.2
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
9%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.05
2/2
21%
3.36
2/X
4%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.05 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.6pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.38/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.12
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
49.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.4 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Newcastle United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.56 xG 2.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
459 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 1-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
01.09.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
22.05.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United HAZ
13.04.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
10.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 2-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
23.04.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 6-1 HT 5-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
1-1
AWAY Newcastle United
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
240 Passes 436
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham and Newcastle United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tottenham had 38% of the ball to Newcastle United's 62%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tottenham and 2.67 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Newcastle United?

Tottenham 1-1 Newcastle United in the Friendlies on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 40%, draw 24%, Newcastle United 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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