Maritimo vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Maritimo
POR2
1-2
HT 1-0
Maritimo
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional
POR
3-2
HT 3-1
Nacional
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
Maritimo 3-0 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo cruised past Nacional 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Maritimo had 46% of the ball to Nacional's 54%, shots finished 9-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maritimo and 1.00 for Nacional.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Nacional?
Maritimo 3-0 Nacional in the Friendlies on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 27%, draw 28%, Nacional 45%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.