Nashville SC 2-2 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2025

Nashville SC
2-2 HT 0-1
Aston Villa
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Nashville SC vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.6
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.6 — our 27% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.86
1/2
7%
19.35
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
9%
8.83
X/2
15%
4.74
X/X
7%
6.36
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
26%
2.27
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.3pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nashville SC v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
301 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC and Aston Villa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Aston Villa?

Nashville SC 2-2 Aston Villa in the Friendlies on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 31%, draw 20%, Aston Villa 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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