PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Super Cup, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.14
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.43
2-3 Goals
34%
2.25
4-5 Goals
34%
2.36
6+ Goals
14%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.47
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.25
X/1
13%
4.14
X/2
6%
18.5
X/X
4%
9.74
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
17.7
2/2
6%
13.65
2/X
7%
22.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.7 — our 11% vs market 3.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.4pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.7pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.2pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.13 xG 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
515 Passes 250
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
48 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 HT 1-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
26.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-2 HT 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
01.09.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
08.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
27.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
2-1
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.68 xG 0.76
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
537 Passes 195
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
61 Box Touches 14
37 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven edged past Go Ahead Eagles 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 69% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 31%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Super Cup on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 66%, draw 15%, Go Ahead Eagles 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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