Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Spartak Varna
BUL1
Spartak Varna 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna edged past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 3 Aug 2026.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, shots finished 6-9.
Across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.40 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Spartak Varna 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 32%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) went the other way.