Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Septemvri Sofia v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Septemvri Sofia 2-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Septemvri Sofia and Lokomotiv Plovdiv couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 48% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 52%, shots finished 10-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.25 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia 2-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 30%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.