Slavia Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +37%
1.67/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.49
+62% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +129%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.04.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2 HT 2-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
24.10.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
16.09.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.06.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia beat Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Slavia Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 43% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 57%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Slavia Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 40%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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