Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pogon Szczecin v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin shaded a tight game against Piast Gliwice 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Piast Gliwice saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.92 to 1.34 — on chances created, Pogon Szczecin won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Pogon Szczecin against 0.83 for Piast Gliwice.
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Result & Final Score
Pogon Szczecin 2 - 1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 26%, Piast Gliwice 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.