Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Piast Gliwice v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Piast Gliwice 2-1 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Piast Gliwice squeezed past Pogon Szczecin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Piast Gliwice made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Piast Gliwice had 33% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 67%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.04 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.50 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Piast Gliwice 2-1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 33%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Under 2.5 went the other way.