Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 Oct 2025

Casa Pia
2 - 2 HT 2 - 1
Estoril
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Casa Pia vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.56
Draw
31%
3.12
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.71
Over
43%
2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.65
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
19%
4.16
6+
3%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.98
1/2
2%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
14%
5.53
X/X
21%
4.14
2/1
2%
32.0
2/2
20%
3.92
2/X
5%
13.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Casa Pia v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Casa Pia The Market 39%
Signal
AWAY Estoril The Market 39%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3

Casa Pia vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estoril
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.79 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 369
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.04.2025 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-3 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
28.04.2025 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
15.12.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
08.04.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
10.11.2023 Estoril Estoril 4-0 HT 2-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
21.05.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 2-2 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR

Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
2 - 2
AWAY Estoril
0.94 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
299 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Casa Pia vs Estoril
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Casa Pia and Estoril with a point apiece. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

A draw from a 33% / 31% / 36% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Casa Pia had 51% of the ball to Estoril's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.94 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Casa Pia and 1.50 for Estoril.

Casa Pia vs Estoril Result & Final Score

Casa Pia 2 - 2 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Casa Pia vs Estoril Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 33%, draw 31%, Estoril 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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