Alfaro vs Anguiano Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfaro v Anguiano — Team-Based Signals
Alfaro 1-2 Anguiano — Actual Match Statistics
Anguiano squeezed past Alfaro 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Anguiano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alfaro had 48% of the ball to Anguiano's 52%, shots finished 11-13.
What was the final score of Alfaro vs Anguiano?
Alfaro 1-2 Anguiano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Anguiano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 38%, draw 32%, Anguiano 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alfaro), Under 2.5 went the other way.