Atlético Paso 2-1 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.06/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.87
-13% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Illescas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2024 Illescas 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
17.09.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-1 HT 0-0 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
2-1
AWAY Illescas
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso squeezed past Illescas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atlético Paso as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 41% of the ball to Illescas's 59%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atlético Paso and 0.50 for Illescas.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Illescas?

Atlético Paso 2-1 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlético Paso win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 41%, draw 30%, Illescas 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlético Paso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlético Paso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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