Badalona 1-1 Espanyol II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.08/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.99
-11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Espanyol II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Badalona Badalona 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
21.10.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
05.03.2023 Badalona Badalona 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
16.10.2022 Espanyol II Espanyol II 3-1 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
06.02.2022 Badalona Badalona 3-3 HT 1-1 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
19.09.2021 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona
1-1
AWAY Espanyol II
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Badalona vs Espanyol II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona and Espanyol II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Badalona had 62% of the ball to Espanyol II's 38%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Badalona and 1.50 for Espanyol II.

What was the final score of Badalona vs Espanyol II?

Badalona 1-1 Espanyol II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona vs Espanyol II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Badalona 34%, draw 30%, Espanyol II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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