CD Guadalajara 3-0 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.67/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.68
+38% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
3-0
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara swept aside Rayo Majadahonda 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 37% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 63%, shots finished 16-15.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Rayo Majadahonda?

CD Guadalajara 3-0 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 41%, draw 26%, Rayo Majadahonda 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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