Compostela 1-0 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.37/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.16
+7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Coruxo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Coruxo Coruxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
26.11.2023 Compostela Compostela 1-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
12.03.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 1-0 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
23.10.2022 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 1-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
27.03.2022 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 1-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
07.11.2021 Coruxo Coruxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela edged past Coruxo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Compostela and 0.50 for Coruxo.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Coruxo?

Compostela 1-0 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Compostela 47%, draw 26%, Coruxo 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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