Don Benito 1-0 Antoniano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Don Benito EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Antoniano EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.23/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.95
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Don Benito vs Antoniano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Don Benito squeezed past Antoniano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Don Benito as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Don Benito vs Antoniano?

Don Benito 1-0 Antoniano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Don Benito vs Antoniano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Don Benito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Don Benito 42%, draw 30%, Antoniano 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Don Benito), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Don Benito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
3 Nov 2024
13:30 Getafe II vs Tenerife II Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Melilla vs Conquense Analysis →
14:00 Talavera CF vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
14:00 UCAM Murcia vs Granada II Analysis →
14:00 Estepona vs Linares Deportivo Analysis →