03/11/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Ejea vs Tudelano Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
28%
Draw
28%
30%
Away Win
26%
61%
Under 2.5
60%
39%
Over 2.5
40%
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
57%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ejea v Tudelano — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ejea
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tudelano
EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+20%
1.62/1.12
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.30/0.83
+27%
/
-19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+36%
/
+45%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
263 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.7
Ejea vs Tudelano Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ejea
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Tudelano
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
10.02.2021
Ejea
1-2
HT 0-0
Tudelano
İS3
1-2
HT 0-0
Tudelano
İS3
POST-MATCH
Ejea vs Tudelano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ejea got the better of Tudelano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ejea as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Ejea vs Tudelano?
Ejea 2-0 Tudelano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ejea vs Tudelano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ejea win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ejea 42%, draw 28%, Tudelano 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ejea), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ejea)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
3 Nov 2024