Izarra 0-1 Eibar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar II EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.33/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
211 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
0-1
AWAY Eibar II
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Izarra vs Eibar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar II squeezed past Izarra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Eibar II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Izarra had 53% of the ball to Eibar II's 47%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of Izarra vs Eibar II?

Izarra 0-1 Eibar II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs Eibar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Izarra win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Izarra 36%, draw 30%, Eibar II 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Izarra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Izarra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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