RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 32%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.95/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.10
-26% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Guijuelo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-2 HT 0-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
02.12.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
1-0
AWAY Guijuelo
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH RC Deportivo Fabril vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril squeezed past Guijuelo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RC Deportivo Fabril as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RC Deportivo Fabril had 37% of the ball to Guijuelo's 63%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guijuelo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RC Deportivo Fabril and 1.50 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of RC Deportivo Fabril vs Guijuelo?

RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Deportivo Fabril vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RC Deportivo Fabril 44%, draw 29%, Guijuelo 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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