Real Avila 2-0 Llanera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanera EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.52/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.00
+9% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Llanera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila saw off Llanera 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Avila as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Llanera?

Real Avila 2-0 Llanera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Llanera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 41%, draw 33%, Llanera 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Avila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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