Real Sociedad III 1-0 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.28/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.84
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.1 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barbastro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 0.51
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
497 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
16.12.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 0-1 HT 0-1 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
1-0
AWAY Barbastro
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III squeezed past Barbastro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Sociedad III found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 59% of the ball to Barbastro's 41%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Barbastro?

Real Sociedad III 1-0 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 31%, draw 33%, Barbastro 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barbastro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barbastro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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