Subiza 1-2 Teruel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Subiza EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Teruel EU Bookmakers 53%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.68/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.70
-31% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Subiza
1-2
AWAY Teruel
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Subiza vs Teruel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teruel squeezed past Subiza 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Teruel as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Subiza had 48% of the ball to Teruel's 52%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Subiza vs Teruel?

Subiza 1-2 Teruel in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Subiza vs Teruel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Teruel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Subiza 31%, draw 28%, Teruel 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teruel), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teruel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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