UD Logrones 2-1 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.40/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.03
+43% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CD Calahorra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-1 HT 0-1 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
12.11.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 4-0 HT 3-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
12.03.2023 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
05.11.2022 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
27.01.2022 UD Logrones UD Logrones 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
29.08.2021 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
2-1
AWAY CD Calahorra
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones nicked a narrow win over CD Calahorra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Logrones had 71% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 29%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Logrones had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UD Logrones and 0.00 for CD Calahorra.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs CD Calahorra?

UD Logrones 2-1 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 48%, draw 25%, CD Calahorra 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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