Catania 0-0 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 38% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 16%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.30/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.86
-26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-3D-1L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
09.12.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
04.10.2023 Catania Catania 2-1 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTCK
19.12.2021 ACR Messina ACR Messina 2-2 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
15.11.2015 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
11.02.2007 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
0-0
AWAY ACR Messina
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 2
0 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catania vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania and ACR Messina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Catania had 66% of the ball to ACR Messina's 34%, shots finished 10-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Catania and 0.83 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Catania vs ACR Messina?

Catania 0-0 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Catania 54%, draw 27%, ACR Messina 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Catania) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
3 Nov 2024
14:30 Vis Pesaro vs Pescara Analysis →
17:00 Campobasso vs Lucchese Analysis →
17:00 Legnago Salus vs Perugia Analysis →
17:00 Audace Cerignola vs Crotone Analysis →
17:00 SSC Giugliano vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →
17:00 Juventus II vs US Latina Analysis →