Pergolettese 1-2 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
0.90/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.85
-6% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
27.11.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
11.05.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
05.02.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-3 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
09.10.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 5-0 HT 3-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
01.02.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
1-2
AWAY Padova Calcio
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio edged past Pergolettese 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pergolettese had 50% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 50%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pergolettese and 0.83 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Padova Calcio?

Pergolettese 1-2 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 23%, draw 23%, Padova Calcio 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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