Pachuca vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara edged past Pachuca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Guadalajara made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pachuca had 53% of the ball to Guadalajara's 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.69 to 1.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pachuca and 1.00 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Guadalajara?
Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 34%, draw 28%, Guadalajara 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.