Guadalajara vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 2-1 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara edged past Pachuca 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 38% of the ball to Pachuca's 62%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.84 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guadalajara and 0.50 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Pachuca?
Guadalajara 2-1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 41%, draw 29%, Pachuca 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.