Pumas UNAM 0-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 23 Feb 2025

Pumas UNAM
0-2 HT 0-1
Club America
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Pumas UNAM vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pumas UNAM v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.14/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.96
-13% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
15.3 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pumas UNAM vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club America
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2024 Club America Club America 0-1 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.04.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-1 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
01.10.2023 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
23.04.2023 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
14.08.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-3 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
27.02.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK

Pumas UNAM 0-2 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
0-2
AWAY Club America
0.54 xG 2.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 Passes 470
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America saw off Pumas UNAM 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 36% of the ball to Club America's 64%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.54 to 2.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Club America?

Pumas UNAM 0-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 33%, draw 25%, Club America 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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