Leon vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Leon
MEK
3-1
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
CON
3-0
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-1
HT 2-1
Leon
CON
Leon 1-0 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Leon nicked a narrow win over Tigres UANL 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Leon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Leon had 38% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 62%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leon and 1.33 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Leon vs Tigres UANL?
Leon 1-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leon 35%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.