Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Leon
MEK
3-1
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
CON
3-0
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-1
HT 2-1
Leon
CON
0-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
Tigres UANL 2-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL and Leon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 64% of the ball to Leon's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.29 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.50 for Leon.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Leon?
Tigres UANL 2-2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Leon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 52%, draw 25%, Leon 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.