Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tigres UANL v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tigres UANL 2-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL and Leon traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tigres UANL at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) landed.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 64% of the ball to Leon's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.29 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.50 for Leon.
Tigres UANL vs Leon Result & Final Score
Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 69%, draw 17%, Leon 14%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.