Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.36/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.08
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
19.7 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Necaxa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
17.02.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
30.12.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa HAZ
28.08.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
25.02.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.07.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
0-0
AWAY Necaxa
0.50 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
368 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 34
24 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro and Necaxa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Queretaro had 57% of the ball to Necaxa's 43%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 0.50 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queretaro and 1.00 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Necaxa?

Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 32%, draw 27%, Necaxa 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Necaxa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Necaxa) ✓ BTTS No
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