FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
FC Juarez
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Toluca
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
FC Juarez
MEK
FC Juarez 0-4 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca cruised past FC Juarez 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FC Juarez had 47% of the ball to Toluca's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.22 to 3.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Juarez had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Juarez and 1.33 for Toluca.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Toluca?
FC Juarez 0-4 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 27%, draw 26%, Toluca 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.