FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Juarez v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Juarez 0-4 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca made light work of FC Juarez 4-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-3.
As we said in the preview, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.
Under the surface, Toluca saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.22 to 3.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Juarez had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for FC Juarez against 1.33 for Toluca.
FC Juarez vs Toluca Result & Final Score
FC Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 24%, draw 25%, Toluca 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.