Queretaro vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queretaro v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Queretaro 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro edged past Mazatlan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Queretaro as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Queretaro had 37% of the ball to Mazatlan's 63%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.52 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queretaro and 1.50 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Queretaro vs Mazatlan?
Queretaro 1-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 45%, draw 26%, Mazatlan 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queretaro) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.