Queretaro 1-0 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
11%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.29
-9% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.5 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
287 Passes 384
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-2 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
13.04.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
28.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
20.02.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
17.08.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
20.02.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-0
AWAY Mazatlan
0.58 xG 0.28
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 14
163 Passes 518
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 47
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro squeezed past Mazatlan 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Queretaro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Queretaro had 27% of the ball to Mazatlan's 73%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.58 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queretaro and 1.50 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Mazatlan?

Queretaro 1-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 36%, draw 31%, Mazatlan 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queretaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queretaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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