Gzira United 2-1 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.97
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / -47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 0-2 HT 0-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
25.01.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
20.10.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
10.02.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
26.09.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-1 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
2-1
AWAY Naxxar Lions
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Naxxar Lions 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gzira United had 38% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 62%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gzira United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Gzira United and 0.80 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions?

Gzira United 2-1 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 41%, draw 24%, Naxxar Lions 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5
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