Gzira United 2-1 Naxxar Lions — Match Result, Stats & H2H

Gzira United Elo 1480 · World #1708 (clubs) LLWWD→

2 - 1 HT 2 - 1

Naxxar Lions Elo 1498 · World #1494 (clubs) LWLDL→

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗

Malta - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 17:40

Match Result

Home

42%

2.13

Draw

27%

3.35

Away

31%

2.93

Under/Over 2.5

UnderVIEW

53%

1.8

Over

47%

1.94

Both Teams to Score

Yes

51%

1.8

49%

1.9

Total Goals

0-1

28%

2-3

46%

4-5

21%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

24%

1/2

1/X

X/1

15%

X/2

12%

X/X

17%

2/1

2/2

17%

2/X

NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.

VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Gzira United v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers

iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures

HOME Gzira United The Market 47%

Signal

AWAY Naxxar Lions The Market 34%

Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad

1.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09

1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44

Average Attack Strength Bad

Average Defense Strength Bad

52% Ball Possession 48%

11 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 4

333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

3 Yellow Cards 2

Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Gzira United

2W-2D-1L

AWAY Naxxar Lions

0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80

59% Ball Possession 41%

10 Total Shots 5

4 Shots on Target 2

10 Corners 2

3 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

28.04.2025 Gzira United

0-2 HT 0-1

Naxxar Lions MALTP

25.01.2025 Gzira United

1-0 HT 1-0

Naxxar Lions MALTP

20.10.2024 Naxxar Lions

1-1 HT 1-0

Gzira United MLTP

10.02.2024 Naxxar Lions

0-1 HT 0-0

Gzira United MLTP

26.09.2023 Gzira United

1-1 HT 0-0

Naxxar Lions MLTP

Gzira United 2-1 Naxxar Lions — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Gzira United

2 - 1

AWAY Naxxar Lions

38% Ball Possession 62%

8 Total Shots 14

2 Shots on Target 3

0 Corners 7

1 Yellow Cards 2

REVIEW Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions

IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gzira United edged past Naxxar Lions 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.

By the numbers, Naxxar Lions saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gzira United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.80 a game for Gzira United against 0.80 for Naxxar Lions.

Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Result & Final Score

Gzira United 2 - 1 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 42%, draw 27%, Naxxar Lions 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →

Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →