Domzale 3-3 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2025

Domzale
3-3 HT 1-2
Mura
📅03/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.09/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.24
-9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mura
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Mura Mura 3-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
10.04.2025 Mura Mura 0-2 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
08.02.2025 Domzale Domzale 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
05.10.2024 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.07.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
29.03.2024 Domzale Domzale 3-5 HT 0-2 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
3-3
AWAY Mura
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale and Mura shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mura at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Domzale had 48% of the ball to Mura's 52%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Domzale and 1.83 for Mura.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Mura?

Domzale 3-3 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Domzale 34%, draw 22%, Mura 44%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →