Mura 3-0 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2025

Mura
3-0 HT 1-0
Domzale
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -16%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.37
-6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Domzale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2025 Mura Mura 0-2 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
08.02.2025 Domzale Domzale 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
05.10.2024 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.07.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
29.03.2024 Domzale Domzale 3-5 HT 0-2 Mura Mura SLVN
10.12.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
3-0
AWAY Domzale
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mura vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura swept aside Domzale 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mura as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mura had 55% of the ball to Domzale's 45%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mura and 1.17 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Mura vs Domzale?

Mura 3-0 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mura 44%, draw 24%, Domzale 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mura) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Under 2.5
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
16 Aug 2025
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